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NWS Wilmington NC: Confidence for Snow Increasing Thursday night

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Impacts

  • Slick roadways will bring increasing traffic and longer commute times
  • Snow covered roadways and limited visibilities in falling snow
  • Icy elevated roadways and bridge decks possible
  • Rough sea conditions for small craft
  • Minor flooding of navigational locks, property, and boat landings along rivers, streams, and intracoastal waterway
  • Early blooming plants will need protection from freezing temperatures

Forecast Confidence

  • Medium, precipitation amounts subject to change

Timing and Strength

Today through Wednesday

  • Warm front advances north; rain showers continue through Wednesday
  • Between 0.50″ and 1.00″ of rain expected through Wednesday
  • Minor river flooding continues until further notice
  • Small craft will encounter hazardous conditions starting Wednesday
  • Seas 6 to 10 feet with northeast winds 20 to 30 kts, higher gusts to 40 kts (see Max Wind Gusts.png)

Thursday night into Saturday

  • Light to moderate rain transitions to snow Thursday evening (see SimRadar.gif)
  • Expected precipitation amounts between 0.50″ to over 1.00″ Thursday night through early Saturday, between 1 and 2 inches total precipitation for the week (see Expected Precipitation.png)
  • Light to moderate snowfall overnight Thursday evening into early Friday
  • Medium confidence of light dusting of snow across the Cape Fear Region
  • Most likely scenario is range of light dusting to just under an inch for some locations in inland NC and SC; biggest impact expected to SE North Carolina
  • Reasonable Worst Case scenario (10% chance) is expecting as much as half an inch of snow for coastal locations; 2 to 3 inches of snow inland (see snowfall graphics at www.weather.gov/ilm/winter)
  • Max Temperatures in the lower 40s between 20 to 30 degrees colder than highs Tuesday afternoon (see TempChange.png)
  • Small craft will encounter hazardous conditions through Friday night; seas 6-10 feet
  • Seas 6 to 10 feet with northeast winds 20 to 30 kts, higher gusts to 40 kts  (see Max Wind Gusts.png)

Weekend into Early Next Week

  • Dry weekend with warming conditions into the 60s in the afternoon
  • Next chances for rain returns for early next week

Questions?  Contact NWS Wilmington at (910762-4289 for 24/7 forecaster assistance.

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